There are 9 seats for passengers on a water bus. The probability that a ticket buyer of the water bus remains absent on the day of the journey is 50%. If the owners of the water bus sell 11 tickets and the probability of every passenger getting a seat is , where and are co-prime, then ?
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The only situations in which the bus is overbooked are (1) when nobody is absent, and (2) when only one is absent. The probabilities are P ( overbooked ) = ( 2 1 ) 1 1 + 1 1 ⋅ ( 2 1 ) 1 1 = 2 1 1 1 2 = 2 9 3 . Thus the desired probability is P ( not overbooked ) = 1 − 2 9 3 = 2 9 2 9 − 3 , and the answer is 2 9 − ( 2 9 − 3 ) = 3 .