Water bus

Level 2

There are 9 seats for passengers on a water bus. The probability that a ticket buyer of the water bus remains absent on the day of the journey is 50%. If the owners of the water bus sell 11 tickets and the probability of every passenger getting a seat is a / b a/b , where a a and b b are co-prime, then b a = b - a = ?


The answer is 3.

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1 solution

The only situations in which the bus is overbooked are (1) when nobody is absent, and (2) when only one is absent. The probabilities are P ( overbooked ) = ( 1 2 ) 11 + 11 ( 1 2 ) 11 = 12 2 11 = 3 2 9 . P(\text{overbooked}) = \left(\frac12\right)^{11} + 11\cdot \left(\frac12\right)^{11} = \frac{12}{2^{11}} = \frac{3}{2^9}. Thus the desired probability is P ( not overbooked ) = 1 3 2 9 = 2 9 3 2 9 , P(\text{not overbooked}) = 1 - \frac{3}{2^9} = \frac{2^9 - 3}{2^9}, and the answer is 2 9 ( 2 9 3 ) = 3 2^9 - (2^9 - 3) = \boxed{3} .

Please explain how did you get the probability of the case 'only one is absent' .

Akash Hossain - 3 years, 1 month ago

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