Those Lucky Ducks

Approximately what proportion of the human population was born on February 29th?

1 1461 \frac{1}{1461} 1 366 \frac{1}{366} 2 29 \frac{2}{29} 1 365 \frac{1}{365} 1 4 \frac{1}{4}

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6 solutions

Arpit MIshra
Apr 29, 2015

February 29 comes once in 4 years. Each Year consists of 365 days. Since there are ( 365 × 4 ) + 1 (365 \times 4) + 1 days in 4 years (including leap year day)

i.e 1461 days \text{1461 days}

Since the event comes once in 1461 days the proportion of people born on that day is:

1 1461 \dfrac{1}{1461} .

greatly explained .....

Tootie Frootie - 6 years, 1 month ago

Awesome man :)

Rock Rathore - 6 years, 1 month ago

It's actually a little more complicated than that (the answer is correct because it says approximate) but a leap year comes if the year is divisible by four. But it is not a leap year if it is divisible by 100. But then it is again if it is divisible by 400. It is confusing, but I think it is important to mention this!

Colin Carmody - 5 years, 4 months ago

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If the question is asking about the living human population, then the given answer should be very close to accurate, with the added assumptions that birth dates are uniformly distributed throughout the year (which is not exactly true because e.g., September has more births than other months) and that death dates and birth dates are independent of each other.

The last time the proportion of leap days to total days in a given 4 year span was not 1/1461 was 1900. The vast majority of people born in that time frame are no longer living.

Stephen Beck - 3 years, 1 month ago

This makes problem makes no sense to me. It strikes me as very misleading to ask how many people are born on February 29th and then fail to mention that you want the user to look at a period of four years. If that is not specified, then why would I assume four years as opposed to one?

A Former Brilliant Member - 1 year, 8 months ago
Owais Arshad
Apr 30, 2015

In this question basically probability has been asked of being born on 29th febuary.Since probability is given by

Possible outcomes/total no. Of outcomes

Total no.of outcomes in this case would be total no. Of days in 4 years that would be (365×3)+366, (366 because there would be one day extra on leap year) and possible outcomes is 1 i.e 29th febuary

Therefore probability =1/(365×3)+366

=1/1461

Brother, use simpler language to make people more understand what's your though.

Hafizh Ahsan Permana - 6 years, 1 month ago
Mohammad Khaza
Jul 1, 2017

leap year comes after every 4 years.

so, it will be 1/(365 x 4 +1)

           =1/1461
Bradyn Stanaway
Dec 2, 2017

The Gregorian calendar has February 29 occurring once every four years, meaning that we have 3 standard years of 365 days, and one leap year of 366.

3 × 365 + 366 = 1461 3\times365 + 366 = 1461 , the question makes a lot of assumptions, but assuming that each day is as likely as every other, then it should be the reciprocal.

Giving us the solution: 1 1461 \dfrac{1}{1461}

Leap day is 1 1 day in f o u r four y e a r s years , so 1 1 out of ( 3 ) ( 365 ) + 366 = 1461 (3)(365)+366=1461 or 1 1461 \frac{1}{1461}

Rahul Choudhary
May 1, 2015

we know that 29 feb come after every 4 year..so we just have to see after how many days 29 feb came again so 365*4=1460 days and one is 29th feb so ttoal 1461 days after 29 feb come back..so ans is 1/1461

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