Large tablecloth has parallel vertical lines unit apart. Thin wooden stick of length is twirled and tossed on the table. If is the chance that the stick crosses two lines when it lands and comes to rest, how much is , rounded to nearest whole number?
How large is the table exactly? Assume infinite expanse, infinitely thin lines, etc. The picture below depicts some sticks that are colored by the number of crossings.
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Without the loss of generality, we can assume the centre of one wooden stick lands between two given lines, and we can also assume the centre lies on some given vertical line. If we denote the distance along the vertical line from the bottom horizontal line to the centre of the stick as x , then it is clear the stick cannot cross both lines if 0 < x < 4 1 or 4 3 < x < 1 . Given that 2 1 < x < 4 3 , it is evident by considering the associated right-angled triangle that the probability P x that the stick will cross both lines for some x is P x = π 2 arccos ( 3 4 x ) . Thus, since P = 2 1 E [ P x ] , we have P = 2 1 × ( 4 3 − 2 1 ) 1 ∫ 2 1 4 3 π 2 arccos ( 3 4 x ) d x = π 5 − 2 arccos ( 3 2 ) ⟹ 1 0 1 0 × P = 0 . 1 7 6 3 2 1 5 9 7 8 1 4 . . . ≈ 1 7 6 3 2 1 5 9 7 8 .