In this universe the chances of getting struck by lightning is 1/145289,
n is the number of rock paper scissors games won in a row (If the players draw they redo) required to match the chance of getting struck by lightning.
What is n (rounded down)
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Let p be the probability of winning a given Rock Paper Scissors game. Then p 3 2 p p = 3 1 Probability you win immediately + 3 1 p Probability you win after drawing = 3 1 = 2 1
Now, we solve p n 2 n 1 2 n n = 1 4 5 2 8 9 1 = 1 4 5 2 8 9 1 = 1 4 5 2 8 9 ≈ 1 7 . 1 5
Thus ⌊ n ⌋ = 1 7 .