When is the Probability One-Half?

Number Theory Level pending

In an urn there are a certain number (at least two) of black marbles and a certain number of white marbles. Steven blindfolds himself and chooses two marbles from the urn at random. Suppose the probability that the two marbles are of opposite color is 1 2 \tfrac12 . Let k 1 < k 2 < < k 100 k_1<k_2<\cdots<k_{100} be the 100 100 smallest possible values for the total number of marbles in the urn. Compute the remainder when k 1 + k 2 + k 3 + + k 100 k_1+k_2+k_3+\cdots+k_{100} is divided by 1000 1000 .


The answer is 550.

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1 solution

David Altizio
Nov 21, 2014

Let b b and w w be the number of black and white marbles in the urn, respectively. Then the probability of two distinct colors being picked is b b + w w b + w 1 + w b + w b b + w 1 = 2 b w ( b + w ) ( b + w 1 ) . \dfrac b{b+w}\cdot\dfrac w{b+w-1}+\dfrac w{b+w}\cdot\dfrac b{b+w-1}=\dfrac{2bw}{(b+w)(b+w-1)}. Setting this equal to 1 2 \tfrac12 and cross multiplying gives 4 b w = ( b + w ) ( b + w 1 ) = b 2 + 2 b w + w 2 b w b + w = b 2 2 b w + w 2 = ( b w ) 2 . \begin{aligned}4bw&=(b+w)(b+w-1)\\&=b^2+2bw+w^2-b-w\\\implies b+w&=b^2-2bw+w^2=(b-w)^2.\end{aligned} It is easy to see that since b w b-w and b + w b+w are of the same parity, for any value of b w b-w there will exist an integer pair ( b , w ) (b,w) that works. The only exception to this is b w = 1 b-w=1 , as this gives ( b , w ) = ( 1 , 0 ) (b,w)=(1,0) which is bad. Hence k i = ( i + 1 ) 2 k_i=(i+1)^2 , so i = 1 100 k i i = 1 101 i 2 1 101 × 102 × 203 6 1 550 ( m o d 1000 ) . \sum_{i=1}^{100}k_i\equiv\sum_{i=1}^{101}i^2-1\equiv \dfrac{101\times 102\times 203}6-1\equiv\boxed{550}\pmod{1000}.

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