and shoot independently until each shoots their target. They have probabilities and respectively of hitting the target at each shot. Find the probability that require more shots than .
If the answer is in the form , where and are coprime positive integers, enter .
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Let a , b be the number of shots A , B respectively takes until they hit the target. Then since their results are independent of one another, the desired probability will be
S = n = 1 ∑ ∞ ( P ( a = n ) × P ( b > n ) ) .
Now for P ( a = n ) , A must miss their first n − 1 shots and then hit on their n th shot. Thus
P ( a = n ) = ( 1 − 5 3 ) n − 1 × 5 3 = 2 3 × ( 5 2 ) n . Next, we have that
P ( b > n ) = k = n + 1 ∑ ∞ P ( b = k ) = k = n + 1 ∑ ∞ ( 7 2 ) k − 1 × 7 5 = 7 5 k = n + 1 ∑ ∞ ( 7 2 ) k − 1 = 7 5 × 1 − 7 2 ( 7 2 ) n = ( 7 2 ) n .
Thus S = 2 3 n = 1 ∑ ∞ ( 5 2 × 7 2 ) n = 2 3 × 1 − 3 5 4 3 5 4 = 2 3 × 3 1 4 = 3 1 6 .
So finally a + b = 6 + 3 1 = 3 7 .
Comments: The probability that A , B require the same number of shots will be
n = 1 ∑ ∞ ( P ( A = n ) × P ( B = n ) ) = n = 1 ∑ ∞ ( ( 3 5 4 ) n − 1 × 5 3 × 7 5 ) = 7 3 × 1 − 3 5 4 1 = 7 3 × 3 1 3 5 = 3 1 1 5 .
The probability that B requires fewer shots will then be 1 − 3 1 6 − 3 1 1 5 = 3 1 1 0 .