Yahtzee!

You roll five six sided dice, but don't look at the results.

At least four of the five were fours.

The probability you rolled five fours is a b \dfrac{a}{b} , where a a and b b are coprime posiitve integers. What is a + b ? a+b?


Image credit: http://www.clipartkid.com/


The answer is 27.

This section requires Javascript.
You are seeing this because something didn't load right. We suggest you, (a) try refreshing the page, (b) enabling javascript if it is disabled on your browser and, finally, (c) loading the non-javascript version of this page . We're sorry about the hassle.

2 solutions

Geoff Pilling
Nov 6, 2016

There are 26 26 ways you could have rolled the dice:

  • X4444 ( X 4 X \neq 4 )
  • 4X444 ( X 4 X \neq 4 )
  • 44X44 ( X 4 X \neq 4 )
  • 444X4 ( X 4 X \neq 4 )
  • 4444X ( X 4 X \neq 4 )
  • 44444

Only one has 5 5 fours. So the probability is 1 26 . \frac{1}{26}.

1 + 26 = 27 1+26=\boxed{27}

A=throw at least 4 Times 4 with 5 dice. B=throw 5 Times a 4 with 5 dice. P(A)=5/6 (1/6)^4 Comb(1 out of 5)+(1/6)^5 P(B)=(1/6)^5 P(A|B)=1 P(B|A)=P(B)*P(A|B)/P(A)=1/(25+1)=1/26

Kris Hauchecorne - 4 years, 7 months ago

Log in to reply

Nice approach, @Kris Hauchecorne !

Geoff Pilling - 4 years, 7 months ago

Nice question but I misunderstood it by ignoring what "someone" told me---seemed unreliable info. Maybe better to simply state that "At least four of the five were fours".

Sindri Saevarsson - 4 years, 7 months ago

Log in to reply

Good point... Lemme rephrase the question...

Geoff Pilling - 4 years, 7 months ago
Oliver Papillo
Dec 31, 2016

Rolling dice is an example of a Binomial Distribution .

As such, the probability of rolling 4 4 fours is P r ( 4 f o u r s ) = ( 5 4 ) ( 1 / 6 ) 4 ( 5 / 6 ) 1 = 25 7776 Pr(4 fours) = {5 \choose 4}*(1/6)^4*(5/6)^1 = \frac{25}{7776} . (Intentionally Unsimplified)

The probability of rolling 5 5 fours is P r ( 5 f o u r s ) = ( 5 5 ) ( 1 / 6 ) 5 ( 5 / 6 ) 0 = 1 7776 Pr(5 fours) = {5 \choose 5}*(1/6)^5*(5/6)^0 = \frac{1}{7776} .

P r ( 4 f o u r s ) = P r ( 4 f o u r s ) + P r ( 5 f o u r s ) = 26 7776 Pr(≥4 fours) = Pr(4 fours) + Pr(5 fours) = \frac{26}{7776} .

P r ( 4 f o u r s 5 f o u r s ) = P r ( 5 f o u r s ) Pr(≥4 fours∩5 fours) = Pr(5 fours) , as 4 f o u r s 5 f o u r s ≥4 fours ⊇ 5 fours .

As such P r ( 5 f o u r s 4 f o u r s ) = P r ( 5 f o u r s ) P r ( 4 f o u r s ) = 1 26 Pr(5 fours|≥4 fours) = \frac{Pr(5 fours)}{Pr(≥4 fours)} = \frac{1}{26} .

1 + 26 = 27 1 + 26 = 27

0 pending reports

×

Problem Loading...

Note Loading...

Set Loading...