Murphy's Law - "Anything that can go wrong, will go wrong" with and addition of "at the worst possible time", in Sod's Law or Finagle's Law.
Obviously this can easily be disproven by continous experimentation. I could be killed by Kronos right now(which is pretty wrong according to me), but it hasn't happened to me for 15 years. But is there a theoretical way to disprove Murphy's Law?
This note is for discussion on the above stuff, so no inappropriate comments and stuff.
And obviously no chatting, latex testing, or game/movie/shit discussions(Nathan).
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I have a theory that we typically only start thinking of "Murphy's Law" when things go against us. For example, if I go for a drive, I probably won't notice if I get 5 green lights in a row, but I will notice (and get annoyed) if I get 5 red lights in a row, even if the probabilities are the same. That means our dataset is flooded with the times we remember when things go against us, which helps promote the idea of "Murphy's Law" even more. (I guess my theory is more psychological than mathematical.)
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That actually makes sense. Murphy's Law was also created on the basis of Murphy's thinking, when he said something like, "If there are two ways to do something and one ends in disaster, he'll(the technician) do it that way." when a technician hooked up the sensors in the wrong way. Though it can still be shown by multiple experiments that Murphy's law is wrong, which also shows that Murphy's Law depends more on psychology.
@Siddharth Chakravarty, @David Vreken, @Frisk Dreemurr, @Vinayak Srivastava, @Nathan Soliman
Murphy's Law
My math is not as good as you are, but I'd say for example there are 5 laneways, the probability of ONLY your lane is blocked is 1/32, so if you increase the number of laneways the probability decreases. And whenever you change the route the probability of that lane blocked should stay the same. That's all I know, maybe it consists of the multiplication of probabilities, and please don't laugh at me if I'm wrong.
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You're right, the probability is very less, which also hints that Murphy's law is wrong. No one's gonna laugh if you're wrong though.
i can disporve this if murphys law is that the wrong thing could happen at the worst time. if this was true something bad would happen when ido a test bc that is the worst moment for something to happen but so far noting has happened
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i know my spelling is wron but idc my fingerrs r lazy
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Yes, but as I stated that is an experiment. I am trying to disprove it by theory. Like by calculating probabilities, or stating a scientific property that doesn't allow Murphy's law to happen.
Schrödinger's cat can disprove it
The worst that can happen is that the cat dies, but quantum theory points otherwise. According to current studies, if there is no observer, the object is placed in a superposition between the two, therefore 100% not allowing the worst to happen
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you rock!
Whoa, whoa, whoa, my brain is about to explode...
--some time later, Percy rebuilds his brain from the blown up bits--
Hey that's actually pretty cool!
afaik Murphy's Law is more stated like this: if there is a chance that a thing will break, then it will break if you just use it long enough.
and like David said: we will not remember the 9999 times that we used the thing and it works perfect, but we will remember that one time when it breaks.
and we will remeber this malfunction even more intense if a thing breaks when we need it very urgent.
and in such a moment of hurry humans are even more likely to forget that the thing already did a good job for a long time.
in my experience most humans are more likely to remember bad happenings than positive events.