A circle of radius 1 is randomly chosen strictly inside a circle of radius 2. A point is chosen, again at random, inside the circle with radius 1. What is the probability this point is closer to the center of the circle with radius 2 than the circumference of the circle with radius 2?
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2^{34}
a_{i-1}
\frac{2}{3}
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Edited to match the corrected question...
Let R be the distance of the centre O2 of the circle C of radius 1 from the centre O1 of the circle of radius 2. Since O2 can be anywhere inside the circle of radius 1 with centre O1 (shown dotted in the diagram) we have P[R≤r]=ππr2=r2 for any 0≤r≤1 and hence R has the probability distribution function f(r)={2r00≤r≤1o.w.
alternatetext
Given that R=r, the probability that the randomly chosen point in the circle C is closer to the centre of the original circle than its circumference is the probability that the randomly chosen point lies inside the region common to C and the (dotted) circle of centre O1 and radius 1, which is P[b>a∣R=r]==π2(θ−sinθcosθ)π1[2cos−1(2r)−r1−41r2] and hence P[b>a]======∫01P[b>a∣R=r]2rdr=π2∫01(2rcos−1(2r)−r21−41r2)drπ2∫21π31π(4ucosu−4cos2usinu)(−2sinu)duπ2∫31π21π(4usin2u−2sin22u)duπ2∫32ππ(vsinv−sin2v)dvπ2[−vcosv+sinv−21v+41sin2v]32πππ2×81(4π−33)=1−4π33
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Sorry, little typo there. Fixed. That would mean the probability is 4π4π−33, correct? I never thought this problem would actually be that hard.
Hi,
I tried out a simulation, choosing the coordinates (r1cosθ+r2cosα,r1sinθ+r2sinα) at random, where 0≤r1,r2≤1 and 0≤θ,α≤2π.
The distance from the center of the bigger circle, a=r12+r22+2r1r2cos(θ−α) and b=2−a, simulating for 1000000 trials, I got the average b>a about 0.777, which is more than 0.5865.
Can't see any mistake, though.
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Did you assume that r1 and r2 were uniform on [0,1]?
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r1 and r2 is 2x for 0≤x≤1. Look at the beginning of my solution.
The pdf ofLog in to reply
r1 is the distance from the center of the circle with radius 2 centered at (0,0), and get the coordinates (r1cosθ,r1sinθ), which is the center of the smaller circle. Then select (r2cosα,r2sinα), which is the point within the smaller circle. Then I did my simulation as in the earlier post.
Is there something wrong with this thinking? Aren't the variables independent?
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r1 and r2 correct. You can ignore θ. Provided that you choose r1 and r2 independently from the correct pdf, and choose α randomly and uniformly in [0,2π), all should be well. It will not work if you choose r1 and r2 randomly from a uniform distribution.
If you are going to simulate this, you must adjust your simulation so that the chances of choosingTo model r1 and r2 correctly, choose r12 and r22 from a uniform distribution on [0,1]. If you do that, your simulation should agree with my theoretical result (my one did).
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Thanks for your help, much appreciated.