Probability Problem

Three numbers are chosen uniformly and independently at random from the interval [0,1] and arranged to form an ordered triple (a,b,c) with a<=b<=c. What is the probability that 4a+3b+2c<=1?

I came across this problem while going through some old math materials. Any ideas?

Note by Leandre Noel Kiu
8 years ago

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3 votes

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I hope this isn't an active Brilliant question. If so, please let me know.

We first consider the volume of the region of (x,y,z) (x,y,z) -space for which 0xyz1 0 \le x \le y \le z \le 1 and 4x+3y+2z1 4x + 3y + 2z \le 1 . This is easy to find: there are four inequalities, which define four planes that enclose a tetrahedron. In the yz yz -plane (i.e., x=0 x = 0 ), the given inequalities give the conditions y0 y \ge 0 , zy z \ge y , 3y+2z1 3y + 2z \le 1 . This is a triangle whose vertices are (x,y,z){(0,0,0),(0,15,15),(0,0,12) (x,y,z) \in \{ (0,0,0), (0,\frac{1}{5}, \frac{1}{5}), (0,0,\frac{1}{2}) . Thus its area is 120 \frac{1}{20} . Now, the height of the tetrahedron as measured from this base is the maximum value of x x that satisfies the given constraints--this obviously occurs when x=y=z x = y = z and 4x+3y+2z=1 4x + 3y + 2z = 1 , from which we immediately find x=19 x = \frac{1}{9} . Therefore, the total volume of the tetrahedron is 1540 \frac{1}{540} .

But this represents the probability that the three numbers chosen satisfy the given conditions without first being reordered in increasing sequence; i.e., that a=x a = x , b=y b = y , and c=z c = z . Hence, the desired probability is 3!=63! = 6 times the volume found, since there are this many ways to permute three distinct elements--e.g., we could have a=y,b=z,c=x a = y, b = z, c = x , or a=z,b=x,c=y a = z, b = x, c = y , etc. Therefore, the desired probability is 190 \frac{1}{90} .

hero p. - 8 years ago
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