Probability Question!! Please Help..!!!

Eight Player \( P_{1},P_{2},P_{3},P_{4}.......P_{8} \) are going to play a Knock-Out Tournament.It is known that whenever \( P_{i} \) and \( P_{j} \) plays , The Player \( P_{i} \) wins if i<j . Assuming that Players are paired at random in each round, What is the probability that player \( P_{4} \) reaches the final ??

Also Find the probability of all the other Players in reaching the final ?

What should be sum of all the individual probabilities of each player in reaching the final ?

Please help me solve my doubt..!!!

#HelpMe! #Advice #MathProblem #Math #Opinions

Note by Rushi Rokad
7 years, 8 months ago

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8 votes

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Comments

I was thinking about this problem and i think I've figured it out! P1 has a 7/7 chance, or %100 P2 has a 6/7 chance, or about %86 P3 has a 5/7 chance, or about %71 P4 has a 4/7 chance, or about %51 P5 has a 3/7 chance, or about %43 P6 has a 2/7 chance, or about %29 P7 has a 1/7 chance, or about %14 P8 has a 0/7 chance, or %0 these are all decimals except for P1 and P8

Billy Coleman - 7 years, 8 months ago

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The chance of P7 P_{7} and P6 P_{6} in reaching the final is also zero...The probabilities you have given are for Players to reach the semifinal and not the finals..

Rushi Rokad - 7 years, 8 months ago

For first question, I think PP == 435\frac{4}{35}.

Reason: Let, integers from 11 to 88 represent respective players. Firstly, in order for P4P_{4} to win, the player 44 has to be paired with a higher number with is one of these: 55, 66, 77 or 88. This can be done with a probability 14\frac{1}{4}.

Secondly, in order to win, two large numbers greater than 44 has to be paired to ensure there is a larger number to win from when 4 reaches in the round before semi-final. This can be done with a probability 3C26C2\frac{^3C_2}{^6C_2}.

Finally, making use of Bayes Theorem, PP == 14×3C26C2\frac{1}{4}\times\frac{^3C_2}{^6C_2} = 435\frac{4}{35}.

Though I am a bit hazy about the answer due to the random effect (players are shuffled after every round).

Lokesh Sharma - 7 years, 8 months ago

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No..I Think you are correct.

Rushi Rokad - 7 years, 8 months ago
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