Work out the standard deviation

A problem on brilliant was answered by 236 users in $\frac{45}{24}$ days, giving an average number of answers per day, $\mu$ $(\approx 125.9)$ . Looking at this problem now, I see that three users answered it at times, $\frac{15}{24*60},\frac{31}{24*60},\frac{69}{24*60}$ days ago from now.

Taking into account the next person to post ( who could post at any time from right now to the end of $7$ days (very unlikely)) and the 4th last person to solve the problem (assuming, say, a constant probability of posting (although feel free to use a more realistic model)), estimate the standard deviation for the time intervals between people solving the problem.

For clarity: if the next person posts in $\frac{t}{24*60}$ days, and the 4th last posted $\frac{T}{24*60}$ ago, the differences are $\frac{t+15}{24*60},\frac{16}{24*60},\frac{38}{24*60},\frac{T-69}{24*60}$ .

Easy Math Editor

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Comments

How familiar are you with probability models? For example, if you assume that the events are independent and you can estimate the rate, then you can model it with the Poisson distribution.

A unique feature of the Poisson distribution, is that the mean is equal to the variance, which allows you to calculate the standard deviation.

Calvin Lin Staff - 8 years, 2 months ago

Hey Calvin, can you help me with another standard deviation problem please? I've even started the discussion but I have had no responses..

here is the discussion: https://brilliant.org/discussions/thread/calculation-of-standard-deviation-of-coordinates/

Namrata Haribal - 7 years, 11 months ago

Which Brilliant problem was this? I would very much like to try it.

Tim Ye - 8 years, 2 months ago

I think It's just a setting for the problem.

Sridhar Thiagarajan - 8 years, 2 months ago

Either geometry/combinatorics or number theory (although only level 3- I'm new here!).

A L - 8 years, 2 months ago

Math	Appears as
Remember to wrap math in `\(` ... `\)` or `\[` ... `\]` to ensure proper formatting.
`2 \times 3`	$2 \times 3$
`2^{34}`	$2^{34}$
`a_{i-1}`	$a_{i-1}$
`\frac{2}{3}`	$\frac{2}{3}$
`\sqrt{2}`	$\sqrt{2}$
`\sum_{i=1}^3`	$\sum_{i=1}^3$
`\sin \theta`	$\sin \theta$
`\boxed{123}`	$\boxed{123}$