The Fallen Hearts

When Agnishom asked the prettiest girl in his class to go on a date with him, she pulled out a standard deck of 52 cards.

She said, "You have to choose 2 cards from this pack without replacement. If both the cards belong to the heart suit, we are on."

As she started shuffling the deck, unknown to either of them, 3 cards inadvertently fell out of the pack at random. In effect the deck was consisting of 49 cards when Agnishom chose his two cards.

Given this scenario, the probability that Agnishom goes on the date i.e. that he draws two hearts without replacement can be expressed as a b \dfrac{a}{b} where a a and b b are co-prime positive integers.

Find the value of a + b a+b .


The answer is 18.

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1 solution

Discussions for this problem are now closed

First, we will have to realize that this is just the same thing as choosing 5 random cards with trying to have the last 2 cards heart cards.

To do this, we first notice that the last 2 heart cards can be chosen in 13 × 12 13 \times 12 ways.

We have every freedom in choosing the first three cards except that we cannot choose the two cards we fixed for the choice of the last two. So, we have 50 × 49 × 48 50 \times 49 \times 48 ways to choose the first three cards.

Thus, there are a total of 13 × 12 × 50 × 49 × 48 13 \times 12 \times 50 \times 49 \times 48 ways he can get lucky.

Now, in how many ways can the cards be chosen anyway ? It is obviously ( 52 5 ) 5 ! { 52 \choose 5 } 5!

So, P(Agnishom goes to the date) = 13 × 12 × 50 × 49 × 48 ( 52 5 ) 5 ! \text{P(Agnishom goes to the date)} = \frac{13 \times 12 \times 50 \times 49 \times 48 }{{ 52 \choose 5 } 5!}

Thanks for the problem, Satyen! I'll definitely show her :)

An even faster way is observing that the order of selecting cards doesn't matter. Therefore you have to find the probability that the first 2 cards are hearts, which is just 13 52 12 51 = 1 17 \frac{13}{52}*\frac{12}{51} = \frac{1}{17}

Siddhartha Srivastava - 6 years, 5 months ago

Will you please elaborate your method. I can't understand it.

Prakash Chandra Rai - 6 years, 5 months ago

My method is that the order of selecting the cards doesnt matter, i.e. the probability that the 33423rd card is a heart is the same as the probability that the first card is a heart. So the probability of the 4th and 5th card both being hearts is the same as the first two cards being hearts.

Then the probabilty of the first two cards being hearts is just 13 52 12 51 = 1 17 \frac{13}{52}*\frac{12}{51} = \frac{1}{17}

Siddhartha Srivastava - 6 years, 5 months ago

@Siddhartha Srivastava Thanks for clearing my concepts and a very nice solution

Prakash Chandra Rai - 6 years, 5 months ago

@Prakash Chandra Rai But my doubt is that if 3 cards are fallen, and at least one of them belongs to hearts, then probability should be affected. Please correct me if I am wrong.

Prakash Chandra Rai - 6 years, 5 months ago

@Prakash Chandra Rai 3 cards falling is the same as shuffling them to the bottom of the deck. In both cases the process is completely random and the cards can't to be chosen.

Siddhartha Srivastava - 6 years, 5 months ago

@Siddhartha Srivastava Understood and very very thanks to you.

Prakash Chandra Rai - 6 years, 5 months ago

U r most wlc Agnishom :)

Satyen Nabar - 6 years, 5 months ago

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