Suppose A and B shoot independently until each hits his target.They have probabilities 5 3 a n d 7 5 of hitting the targets at each shot. Find the probability that B will require more shots than A .
Plz help me out in this
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nice solution sir
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Thanks. Nice problem. :)
P.S.. I did notice the set of probability question you posted, but it looks like you already have plenty of good responses.
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sir ,its a request to plz post the solution to this Consider families with n children and let A be the event that a family has children both boys and girls and B be the event that there is at most one girl in the family. Find the value of n for which the event A and B are independent ,assuming that each child has probability 2 1 of being a boy .
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@Tanishq Varshney – I like Rohit Shah's method, but note that n = 1 would also be a solution to his equation and to this problem. If it is assumed that n > 1 then the unique solution would then indeed be 3 .
Ah, really nice way to simplify the event " B will require more shots than A " to " They will need to both miss their first shots after which A hits his target and B misses. "
Ah!!I had the same thought but didn't write it and just saw the solution,lazy!
This is actually simpler than it seems. Using infinite probabilities:
p= 2/7 ( 3/5 + 2/5 * p) Solving this yields p=6/31.
A rather tedious solution ... :-)
The case that " B requires more shots than A " will arise whenever B hits target after missing n shots whereas A hits the target in n or lesser shots.
Let M a n H a = M I S S a . . . n times . . . M I S S a H I T a (i.e. A Misses the target n times and Hits in the n + 1 shot).
For the event M b n H b ( n ≥ 1 ), the corresponding events such that B requires more shot than A are:
H a , M a H a , . . . , M a n − 1 H a (i.e. all the cases where A hits in at most n shots.)
The probability that B hits in n + 1 shots and A hits in at most n shoots =
P ( M b n H b ) × ( P ( H a ) + P ( M a H a ) + . . . + P ( M a n − 1 H a ) =
( 7 2 ) n × 7 5 × ( 5 3 + 5 2 × 5 3 + ( 5 2 ) 2 × 5 3 + . . . + ( 5 2 ) n − 1 × 5 3 )
Probability that B will require more shots than A =
n = 1 ∑ ∞ [ ( 7 2 ) n × 7 5 × ( 5 3 + 5 2 × 5 3 + ( 5 2 ) 2 × 5 3 + . . . + ( 5 2 ) n − 1 × 5 3 ) ] =
7 3 × n = 1 ∑ ∞ [ ( 7 2 ) n × ( 1 + 5 2 + ( 5 2 ) 2 + . . . + ( 5 2 ) n − 1 ) ] =
7 3 × [ ( 7 2 + ( 7 2 ) 2 + . . . ) + 5 2 × ( ( 7 2 ) 2 + ( 7 2 ) 3 + . . . ) + ( 5 2 ) 2 × ( ( 7 2 ) 3 + ( 7 2 ) 4 + . . . ) ] =
7 3 × [ ( 5 2 ) + ( 7 2 ) × ( 5 2 ) 2 + ( 7 2 ) 2 × ( 5 2 ) 3 + ( 7 2 ) 3 × ( 5 2 ) 4 + . . . ] =
7 3 × ( 1 − 7 2 × 5 2 5 2 ) = 3 1 6 = 0 . 1 9 4
nice logic
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They will need to both miss their first n shots, where n is a non-negative integer, after which A hits his target and B misses. Thus the probability will be
n = 0 ∑ ∞ [ ( 5 2 ) n ( 7 2 ) n ] ∗ ( 5 3 ) ∗ ( 7 2 ) = 1 − 3 5 4 1 ∗ 3 5 6 = 3 1 6 = 0 . 1 9 4
to 3 decimal places.