Five Marbles

I have 5 marbles numbered 1 through 5 in a bag. Suppose I take out two different marbles at random. What is the expected value of the product of the numbers on the marbles? Answer as a decimal to the nearest tenth.

8.5 8 6 12.5 9.5 11 9.2 10.5

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2 solutions

Chew-Seong Cheong
Jul 18, 2017

The number of discrete outcomes N = ( 5 2 ) = 5 × 4 2 × 1 = 10 N = \displaystyle {5 \choose 2} = \dfrac {5 \times 4}{2 \times 1} = 10 . Therefore, the probability for an outcome p = 1 10 p = \frac 1{10} . Therefore the expected value of the outcome is:

E ( X ) = i < j 5 i j p = 1 10 i = 1 4 j = i + 1 5 i j = 1 10 i = 1 4 i j = i + 1 5 j = 1 10 i = 1 4 i ( 5 i ) ( i + 6 ) 2 = 1 20 i = 1 4 ( 30 i i 2 i 3 ) = 30 ( 10 ) 30 100 20 = 8.5 \begin{aligned} E(X) & = \sum_{i < j}^5 ij p = \frac 1{10} \sum_{i=1}^4 \sum_{j=i+1}^5 ij = \frac 1{10} \sum_{i=1}^4 i \sum_{j=i+1}^5 j \\ & = \frac 1{10} \sum_{i=1}^4 \frac {i(5-i)(i+6)}2 \\ & = \frac 1{20} \sum_{i=1}^4 \left(30i-i^2-i^3\right) \\ & = \frac {30(10)-30-100}{20} \\ & = \boxed{8.5} \end{aligned}

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Mohammad Khaza - 3 years, 10 months ago

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I am a retired person.

Chew-Seong Cheong - 3 years, 10 months ago

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sir, their is a "contribution" menu in your feed and so many one's feed. how can i make that?

Mohammad Khaza - 3 years, 10 months ago

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@Mohammad Khaza You can contribute many questions or solutions so that Brilliant.org recognizes your contributions. In my cases, I have provided a lot of solutions.

Chew-Seong Cheong - 3 years, 10 months ago
Micah Gadbois
Jul 17, 2017

There are 5 choose 2 = 10 ways to pick 2 marbles from 5 marbles.

The expected value of the product is: 1/10 x (1x2+1x3+1x4+1x5+2x3+2x4+2x5+3x4+3x5+4x5) = 1/10 x 85 = 8.5

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