A fair coin is tossed 9 times. The probability that at least 5 consecutive head occurs
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Nice solution Curtis sir , upvoted
4 × 2 5 1 × 2 1 + 2 5 1
= 3 2 3
I think that it'd be nice if you could add that you have used Binomial Distribution and something else :)
No hurry ! Do it after Thursday ,perhaps .
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He has not used any such high-fi stuff i believe, atleast i have not, this problem did not require it,
heres what i did, Let me keep throwing coins and stop when i get 5 in a row,
let the probability for getting 5 coins in a row be P k then P k = 0 for all k ϵ [ 1 , 4 ] obviously, Now P 5 = 2 5 1
for P 6 onwards, we have to ensure not only that 5 times heads in a row but also that there are no overlaps with previous ones, since in 9 , only two times 5 in a row can happen, we simply need to make sure that we get 5 heads in a row and the one adjacent to the toss where the series began, we must have a tail
so P k = 2 6 1 for k ϵ [ 6 , 9 ] and hence answer is
2 5 1 + 4 2 6 1
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Haha, I never said anything about hi fi stuff ! I just asked him to make sure his solution was complete by adding a few lines for those who don't know :)
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@A Former Brilliant Member – ah gotcha :)
@A Former Brilliant Member – Can u plz help me in solving this
Nice solution Saketh ,upvoted
sorry i don't get it > < what do you mean by no overlapping? i agree that the one adjacent to the toss where the series began, we must have a tail,but then there are 2 next to it?(one before and one behind ) coz your method seems really concise i wanna understand it
Yes Azhaghu Sir I agree with you
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For 5 consecutive heads, if you start with a head then there is a probability of success of 2 1 each time, but you also need a tail next to avoid falling into the 6 consecutive heads group. You also need to consider that if you don't start or end with a heads then you must get a tail just before and just after the 5 consecutive heads. Using this principle with casework (grouping): P ( 5 c o n s e c u t i v e h e a d s ) = 2 ( 2 6 1 ) + 3 ( 2 7 1 ) = 2 5 1 + 3 ( 2 7 1 ) P ( 6 c o n s e c u t i v e h e a d s ) = 2 ( 2 7 1 + 2 8 1 ) = 2 6 1 + 2 7 1 P ( 7 c o n s e c u t i v e h e a d s ) = 2 ( 2 8 1 ) + 2 9 1 = 2 7 1 + 2 9 1 P ( 8 c o n s e c u t i v e h e a d s ) = 2 ( 2 9 1 ) = 2 8 1 P ( 9 c o n s e c u t i v e h e a d s ) = 2 9 1 Adding these together gives: ∴ P ( ≥ 5 c o n s e c u t i v e h e a d s ) = 3 2 3